strategic decision making

AI could industrialise strategic blindness

The danger is not that AI will make bad strategic decisions. It is that AI could make bad strategic decisions appear extraordinarily intelligent, evidence-based and convincing. At unprecedented speed and scale. A recent Harvard Business Review article, “AI Is Revolutionizing Strategic Decision-Making”, explains how AI fundamentally changes strategy. It can generate thousands of alternatives, build

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The real AI risk isn’t the answer. It’s the frame.

More than 50 years ago, Pablo Picasso said computers were useless. They can only give you answers. He wasn’t wrong at the time. Humans framed the problem, computers crunched the solution. A new World Economic Forum piece, “How AI is rewriting the decisions that leaders need to make” argues that boundary has quietly dissolved. AI

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AI can widen the net. It still can’t tell you what you’re willing to risk

The argument of my new book, STOP PREDICTING: 13 Lessons from 1,400 Attempts to See What Was Coming is that the forecast was never the deliverable. The muscle you build by making it, sensing change, questioning your own assumptions, staying loose enough to adapt when you’re wrong, is. AI Is Revolutionizing Strategic Decision-Making  “AI Is

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Context rot: the real reason AI can’t do your strategy for you

In May 2023, I asked a question that felt like provocation for its own sake: will AI become the new McKinsey? ChatGPT was four months old. Most companies were using it to write emails. The idea that a language model might replace strategic advisory sounded like a stretch. It wasn’t a stretch. It was a

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